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Portable espresso cost per cup: machine vs cafe vs pods

A table that answers one question: how many cups before a portable machine beats a cafe or a pod. The inputs are yours.

Short answer. With the example inputs below, a portable machine pays back against cafe espresso after about 40 cups. Against capsules you already brew at home it takes about 375. Those inputs are ours, for illustration. Replace them with the price on OutIn's page today and what you really pay for a cup.

This is for someone asking whether a portable espresso machine saves money. The honest answer depends on three numbers you know better than we do. We state no OutIn prices, because they change. We have not tested any machine.

The formula

InputOur exampleWhy it is only an example
Machine price$150Use the price on OutIn's page today.
Grinder price, if you add one$180Use today's price, or $0 if you use capsules or already own one.
Cafe espresso$4.50Your local cafe sets this.
Capsule you would otherwise brew$1.10Depends on the brand and pack size you buy.
Your cost per shot with the machine$0.70Beans per shot. Not counting electricity, which OutIn does not state.
Line chart of total spent against cups made: cafe espresso rises steeply, a portable machine starts at 150 dollars and rises slowly, crossing the cafe line near 40 cups; capsules at home stay below both.
Illustration with assumed inputs, not OutIn prices: machine $150, cafe cup $4.50, capsule $1.10, $0.70 per shot with the machine. Our arithmetic.

Payback, with those example inputs

Compared withCups to pay backMonths at 4 cups a month12 a month30 a month60 a month
vs cafe, machine only4010.03.31.30.7
vs cafe, machine plus grinder8721.87.22.91.4
vs capsules at home, machine only37593.831.212.56.2

Read the table like this: at 4 cups a month the machine takes about 10 months to pay back against cafe espresso and years against capsules. The grinder matters. In this example it more than doubles the cups needed, so a capsule-only setup pays back sooner.

What the table leaves out

When it will not pay back

If you already own an AeroPress or a pour-over setup and brew at home, a machine will almost never pay for itself. Buy it for one feature, hot espresso with no stove, not for savings. Our AeroPress guide covers the cheaper route.

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Check today's price before you plug in your numbers

We earn a small commission on qualifying sales, and 90% of it goes to charity (you can pick which); your price is unchanged. Full disclosure.

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